UFO / UAP

Well-Documented Mystery

Roswell Incident

The Roswell Incident began with 1947 debris recovery reports and later became a central UFO case through official explanations, archival material, and decades of media reinterpretation. Stable source set includes official or archival explanations and reference material; the case is historically important even where extraordinary claims remain strongly disputed.

Case identity

23 reports / 4 evidence blocks / updated Jul 27, 2026

Date

Jul 8, 1947

Location

Roswell, New Mexico, United States

Category

UFO / UAP

Status

Well-Documented Mystery

30-Second Summary

What happened?

The Roswell Incident began with 1947 debris recovery reports and later became a central UFO case through official explanations, archival material, and decades of media reinterpretation.

What is documented?

Stable source set includes official or archival explanations and reference material; the case is historically important even where extraordinary claims remain strongly disputed.

Current consensus?

The case has enough stable source material to inspect, while extraordinary interpretations remain provisional.

83Signal

Overall investigation significance score.

79Reality

How strongly evidence supports that the event occurred.

48Debunk

How strongly conventional explanations explain the event.

45Residue

How much unexplained material remains.

Signal basis: score reflects visible report volume, direct evidence blocks, freshness, and search interest. Individual evidence and explanation strength is shown inside the workspace so the top score has visible provenance.

Your read

Source Overview

Read the case through the reporting

This is a quick map of the file. The full source list, media, excerpts, and confidence labels live in Reports so the case page does not repeat the same dossier twice.

23
Sources
22
Materials
19
Excerpts
1
Low conf.

Primary source / Report / Jul 7, 2026

Roswell UFO Festival organizers share 2026 attendance numbers - KRQE

KRQE

Medium confidence

Roswell UFO Festival organizers share 2026 attendance numbers KRQE

Case workspace

Understand the event before judging it

Start here if you are new to the case: what happened, why people still care, and what the archive currently thinks.

What happened?

The Roswell Incident began with 1947 debris recovery reports and later became a central UFO case through official explanations, archival material, and decades of media reinterpretation.

What the file contains

Stable source set includes official or archival explanations and reference material; the case is historically important even where extraordinary claims remain strongly disputed.

Current read

The case has enough stable source material to inspect, while extraordinary interpretations remain provisional.

Why the signal is high

This case has multiple accessible sources and visible reporting history. Use the evidence, explanation, and report confidence layers to separate durable facts from repeated claims.

Source-driven case file. Reports stay visible; claim strength is scored separately.

Case Verdict

Best current interpretation

Well-Documented Mystery

Strongly supported

Pursuant to a congressional request, GAO provided information on the 1947 weather balloon crash at Roswell Army Air Field (RAAF), New Mexico, focusing...

Likely explained

This case still needs a stronger dedicated debunk source; current interpretation should remain conservative until better analysis is attached.

Still unresolved

Which records are closest to the original event?

The case has enough stable source material to inspect, while extraordinary interpretations remain provisional.

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